Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001151 0.001306 0.001462 0.001632 0.001810 0.001991 0.002189
2025-03-16 0.000902 0.001120 0.001349 0.001606 0.001883 0.002172 0.002495
2025-03-23 0.000767 0.001037 0.001330 0.001668 0.002041 0.002436 0.002884
2025-03-30 0.000625 0.000929 0.001273 0.001679 0.002136 0.002629 0.003194
2025-04-06 0.000526 0.000860 0.001249 0.001721 0.002262 0.002853 0.003537
2025-04-13 0.000463 0.000826 0.001262 0.001801 0.002427 0.003118 0.003924
2025-04-20 0.000343 0.000705 0.001161 0.001741 0.002427 0.003194 0.004099
2025-04-27 0.000241 0.000591 0.001059 0.001670 0.002410 0.003246 0.004242
2025-05-04 0.000200 0.000559 0.001056 0.001719 0.002529 0.003452 0.004558
2025-05-11 0.000127 0.000462 0.000960 0.001645 0.002499 0.003483 0.004672
2025-05-18 0.000066 0.000365 0.000853 0.001550 0.002437 0.003474 0.004736
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000312 0.000803 0.001526 0.002458 0.003558 0.004906
2025-06-01 0.000007 0.000237 0.000724 0.001477 0.002473 0.003663 0.005134
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000181 0.000667 0.001455 0.002519 0.003808 0.005413
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000161 0.000668 0.001515 0.002673 0.004084 0.005849
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000127 0.000637 0.001526 0.002763 0.004283 0.006196
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000106 0.000627 0.001567 0.002892 0.004530 0.006599
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000098 0.000642 0.001644 0.003068 0.004835 0.007072
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000059 0.000571 0.001587 0.003062 0.004914 0.007274
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000028 0.000500 0.001520 0.003039 0.004969 0.007446
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000021 0.000499 0.001566 0.003170 0.005216 0.007848
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000004 0.000432 0.001496 0.003137 0.005255 0.007997
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001405 0.003071 0.005248 0.008088